Analysis period: 2024-12-30 to 2025-12-27
Relative Performance (Normalized to 100)
Normalized to 100 at start date for comparison
Key Takeaways
- Raw returns: SPY outperformed with 18.7% total return vs -36.8% for SOL.
- Risk-adjusted (Sharpe): SPY had better risk-adjusted returns with a Sharpe ratio of 0.77 vs -0.16 for SOL.
- Volatility: SPY was less volatile at 19.5% annualized vs 86.4% for SOL.
- Max drawdown: SPY had a shallower max drawdown of -18.8% vs -59.8% for SOL.
Correlation Analysis
SOL and SPY are weakly correlated over the past 6 months. With a correlation of 0.07, these assets show some independence, offering moderate diversification when held together.
| Metric | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Current (30-day) | 0.27 | |
| Average (full period) | 0.07 | |
| Minimum | -0.19 | |
| Maximum | 0.47 |
Correlation measures how closely two assets move together. Values near +1 indicate strong co-movement, near 0 indicates independence, and negative values indicate inverse movement.
Investment Comparison
If you invested $10,000 in each asset on December 30, 2024:
Difference: $5,550.06 (SPY ahead)
Risk Analysis
SOL experienced its maximum drawdown of -59.8% from 2025-01-19 to 2025-04-09. It has not yet recovered to its previous peak.
SPY experienced its maximum drawdown of -18.8% from 2025-02-19 to 2025-04-08. It took 79 days to recover.
Smaller drawdowns and faster recoveries indicate lower downside risk and greater resilience during market stress.
Sharpe Ratio
The Sharpe ratio measures return per unit of risk (volatility). A higher Sharpe indicates better risk-adjusted performance. SPY delivered -4.8x more return per unit of risk than SOL.
A Sharpe above 1.0 is generally considered good, above 2.0 is excellent. Negative Sharpe means the asset underperformed the risk-free rate.
Sortino Ratio
The Sortino ratio measures return per unit of downside risk. Unlike Sharpe, it only penalizes negative volatility. SPY had better downside-adjusted returns.
A higher Sortino is better. It's particularly useful for assets with asymmetric volatility (big gains, smaller losses). Downside volatility: SOL 54.3% vs SPY 15.3%.
Understanding Volatility
SOL's annualized volatility of 86.4% means it typically moves ±4.52% on any given day.
SPY's annualized volatility of 19.5% means it typically moves ±1.23% on any given day.
For comparison, the S&P 500 typically has 15-18% annualized volatility, translating to roughly ±1% daily moves. Higher volatility means larger potential gains but also larger potential losses.
Performance Over Time
| Metric | SOL | SPY |
|---|---|---|
| 30 Days | -13.6% | 1.9% |
| 90 Days | -41.5% | 4.6% |
| 180 Days | -20.4% | 12.9% |
| 1 Year | N/A | N/A |
Shorter time frames can show different leaders as market conditions change. Consider your investment horizon when comparing performance.
Full Comparison
| Metric | SOL | SPY |
|---|---|---|
| Total Return | -36.8% | 18.7% |
| Annualized Volatility | 86.4% | 19.5% |
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.16 | 0.77 |
| Sortino Ratio | -0.25 | 0.98 |
| Max Drawdown | -59.8% | -18.8% |
| Avg Correlation to S&P 500 | 0.03 | 1.00 |