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Ripple (XRP)

XRP trades on cross-border payments and regulatory narrative more than on typical L1 fundamentals. That makes event risk the dominant driver.

Gale Finance Team
Written by Gale Finance Team
Sid Kalla
Reviewed by Sid Kalla CFA Charterholder
Quick Answer

What is Ripple's risk, return, and volatility like?

Ripple returned -35.9% over the 1Y window. On the 5Y lens, Sharpe ratio is 0.44, annualized volatility is 92.6%, and max drawdown is -81.3%.

Total Return
1Y -35.9%
5Y +21.7%
Sharpe Ratio
1Y -0.35
5Y 0.44
Annualized Volatility
1Y 69.7%
5Y 92.6%
Max Drawdown
1Y -65.6%
5Y -81.3%

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Price history

Ripple price over the past 5Y

Track Ripple's standalone price path with macro and asset-specific events enabled by default.

Ripple price over the past 5Y

XRP
Latest close $1.42 Data through 2026-04-22
5Y low $0.31 Window low
5Y high $3.56 Window high

Key takeaways

  • Total Return: XRP returned -35.9% over the 1Y window and +21.7% over the 5Y window ; annualized return over 5Y was +4.0%.
  • Risk-adjusted return: Sharpe was 0.44 and Sortino was 0.71 over 5Y. Sharpe counts total volatility; Sortino focuses on downside volatility.
  • Volatility & drawdown: Annualized volatility was 69.7% over 1Y and 92.6% over 5Y ; max drawdown was -65.6% over 1Y and -81.3% over 5Y .
  • Tail risk (Expected Shortfall): Over 5Y, daily VaR (5%) was -6.4% and Expected Shortfall was -10.4%. VaR is the cutoff; Expected Shortfall is the average move inside the worst 5% of daily returns.
  • Skew & kurtosis: Over 5Y, skew was 0.91 and excess kurtosis was 17.67. Skew shows return asymmetry; excess kurtosis shows how fat the tails were versus a Normal distribution.
  • Risk ratios: Sortino Ratio: 0.71 , Calmar Ratio: 0.05 , Sterling Ratio: 0.00 , Treynor Ratio: 0.38 , Ulcer Index: 57.66% .

Ripple Drawdown

XRP 1Y Max Drawdown
-65.6%
2025-07-21 to 2026-02-04
XRP 5Y Max Drawdown
-81.3%
2021-05-01 to 2022-06-18

Max drawdown shows the deepest peak-to-trough decline Ripple suffered in each research window. 1Y: -65.6%; 5Y: -81.3%.

Ripple is currently -60.0% below its prior peak, with the high-water mark at $3.56. 5Y low is $0.31.

XRP underwater plot (5Y). Zero means at a prior peak; dips show how far below peak the close was on each day. Deepest trough: -81.3% on Jun 18, 2022.
-81.3% 2021-04-23 2026-04-22 0% -81%

5Y drawdown episodes

#1
-81.3% May 1, 2021 to Jun 18, 2022
Recovered Nov 29, 2024 1308 total days
#2
-65.6% Jul 21, 2025 to Feb 4, 2026
Not yet recovered 275 total days
#3
-45.7% Jan 17, 2025 to Apr 8, 2025
Recovered Jul 17, 2025 181 total days

Ripple Volatility

XRP 1Y Volatility
69.7%
Annualized daily closes
XRP 5Y Volatility
92.6%
Annualized daily closes

Volatility Ripple's annualized volatility shows how widely daily closes moved over 1Y and 5Y. Higher values mean a noisier path, not automatically a better or worse investment. 1Y: 69.7%; 5Y: 92.6%.

Benchmark context

Where XRP fits relative to other lenses

Benchmark links are secondary on this page. Use them when you want to place the asset against a specific market, factor, or historical counterpart.

Default benchmark

Bitcoin

BTC

Cross-asset crypto benchmark

1Y return
-16.6%
XRP minus BTC
-19.2%
Correlation
0.81
1Y
XRP vs BTC average correlation
Tightly linked
0.81
SPY

S&P 500

Corr 0.39

Broad equity benchmark

1Y return +34.0%
XRP minus SPY -69.8%
ETH

Ethereum

Corr 0.78

Cross-asset crypto benchmark

1Y return +31.0%
XRP minus ETH -66.8%
QQQ

Nasdaq 100

Corr 0.44

Growth and tech benchmark

1Y return +44.6%
XRP minus QQQ -80.5%

Risk-adjusted ratios

These ratios compare return against different definitions of risk: total volatility, downside volatility, drawdowns, benchmark beta, and time spent underwater.

Ripple Sharpe Ratio

XRP 1Y Sharpe ratio
-0.35
Recent window
XRP 5Y Sharpe ratio
0.44
Deeper research window

XRP Sharpe Ratio (5Y)

Return per total volatility

The dot sits at (Ripple's annualized volatility, its excess annualized return). The slope from the origin to the dot is the Sharpe ratio — steeper means the asset converted risk into return more efficiently.

Higher is better
Excess return Annualized volatility 0 100% vol 92.6% · excess +40.4%
excess annualized return / total volatility
Formula Sharpe=E[R]RfσR\displaystyle \mathrm{Sharpe} = \frac{\mathbb{E}[R] - R_f}{\sigma_R}

Sharpe ratio Ripple's Sharpe ratio measures excess return per unit of total volatility. Higher readings mean the asset converted risk into return more efficiently over the same window. 1Y: -0.35; 5Y: 0.44.

A Sharpe above 1.0 is generally considered good, above 2.0 is excellent. Negative Sharpe means the asset underperformed the risk-free rate. Calculated on each asset's full 365-day lookback of available prices and annualized using the asset calendar (365 for crypto, 252 trading days for equities/ETFs/metals).

Ripple Sortino Ratio

XRP 1Y Sortino ratio
-0.52
Recent window
XRP 5Y Sortino ratio
0.71
Deeper research window

XRP Sortino Ratio (5Y)

Return per downside volatility

Ripple's daily-return distribution over the long window. Days left of the target line are the only ones Sortino penalizes in the denominator — so a distribution with a fat left tail produces a smaller Sortino even at the same mean return.

Higher is better
Frequency (days) Daily return (%) target -36.9% +77.3% 793 0
excess annualized return / downside volatility
Formula Sortino=E[R]Rfσdown\displaystyle \mathrm{Sortino} = \frac{\mathbb{E}[R] - R_f}{\sigma_{\mathrm{down}}}

Sortino ratio Ripple's Sortino ratio isolates downside volatility instead of all volatility. It is the cleaner lens when you care more about bad downside moves than upside noise. 1Y: -0.52; 5Y: 0.71.

A higher Sortino is better. It's useful when upside volatility is common (crypto is the obvious example). Calculated on each asset's full 365-day lookback of available prices, using the daily risk-free rate as the target return, and annualized using the asset calendar (365 for crypto, 252 trading days for equities/ETFs/metals).

Ripple Calmar Ratio

XRP 1Y Calmar ratio
-0.55
Recent window
XRP 5Y Calmar ratio
0.05
Deeper research window

XRP Calmar Ratio (5Y)

CAGR per worst drawdown

Ripple's CAGR bar sits above zero, the max drawdown bar sits below. Calmar is the ratio of those two magnitudes — a shallow drawdown bar with a tall CAGR bar produces a strong Calmar.

Higher is better
0% XRP 5Y +4.0% -81.3%
CAGR / max drawdown
Formula Calmar=CAGRMaxDD\displaystyle \mathrm{Calmar} = \frac{\mathrm{CAGR}}{|\mathrm{MaxDD}|}

Calmar ratio Ripple's Calmar ratio measures return per unit of max drawdown. It is useful when the path of losses matters as much as the final return. 1Y: -0.55; 5Y: 0.05.

Calmar is computed on each asset's full 365-day lookback and uses the max drawdown over that same window.

Ripple Sterling Ratio

XRP 1Y Sterling ratio
-0.91
Recent window
XRP 5Y Sterling ratio
-0.00
Deeper research window

XRP Sterling Ratio (5Y)

Return per average drawdown

The underwater curve shows Ripple's drawdowns over the long window. Sterling averages every event deeper than the 10% threshold instead of taking only the worst one — so an asset with many mid-size drawdowns scores worse here than on Calmar.

Higher is better
0% -21% -43% -64% -85% 10% drawdown threshold
excess CAGR / average deep drawdown
Formula Sterling=CAGRRfD>10%\displaystyle \mathrm{Sterling} = \frac{\mathrm{CAGR} - R_f}{\overline{D}_{>10\%}}

Sterling ratio Ripple's Sterling ratio compares return against deep drawdown pressure. It gives a harsher read on assets that compound well but suffer ugly declines along the way. 1Y: -0.91; 5Y: -0.00.

Sterling uses average drawdown events deeper than 10% and subtracts the risk-free rate to report excess return.

Ripple Ulcer Index

XRP 1Y Ulcer Index
37.55
Recent window
XRP 5Y Ulcer Index
57.66
Deeper research window

XRP Ulcer Index (5Y)

Drawdown pain

The underwater curve shows how deep and how long Ripple's drawdowns were. Ulcer is the root-mean-square of that curve — both depth and persistence count, so lower is better.

Lower is better
0% -21% -43% -64% -85%
root-mean-square drawdown
Formula UI=E[Dt2]\displaystyle \mathrm{UI} = \sqrt{\mathbb{E}[D_t^2]}

Ulcer Index Ripple's Ulcer Index measures both the depth and persistence of drawdowns. Lower is better because it means fewer and shallower underwater periods. 1Y: 37.55; 5Y: 57.66.

Ulcer Index is computed from each asset's drawdown series over the full lookback window.

Ripple Treynor Ratio

XRP 1Y Treynor
-0.19
Beta 1.31 vs BTC
XRP 5Y Treynor
0.38
Beta 1.06 vs BTC

XRP Treynor Ratio (5Y)

Excess return per beta vs BTC

The line's slope is Ripple's beta to BTC — steeper means more market-sensitive. Treynor divides excess return by that slope, so an asset can look efficient with a shallow beta and a small return, or inefficient with a steep beta and a big return.

Higher is better
Asset return Market return 0 0 β 1.06
excess return / market beta
Formula Treynor=E[R]Rfβ\displaystyle \mathrm{Treynor} = \frac{\mathbb{E}[R] - R_f}{\beta}

Treynor ratio measures excess return per unit of market beta versus BTC. A high Treynor means the asset compensated its market exposure well over this window. A low or negative Treynor means the asset's market risk wasn't rewarded.

Treynor uses beta vs the S&P 500 (SPY) on shared dates and the average 3-month Treasury rate as the risk-free rate.

Ripple Tail Risk

Tail-risk stats use daily return distributions rather than simple end-point returns. They show how ugly the left tail has been, how severe the worst 5% of days were, and whether returns were skewed toward outsized upside or downside shocks.

The histogram shows the shape of Ripple's daily log returns over the 5Y window. Bars left of the 5% VaR marker are the worst 5% of days; the ES marker is the average loss inside that tail. Skew and excess kurtosis describe whether the distribution is symmetric around zero and whether extreme days are more common than a Normal distribution predicts.

XRP daily return distribution (5Y)

XRP daily return distribution (5Y)

Log-return histogram with Value-at-Risk and Expected Shortfall markers at the 5% left tail.

Days
XRP 5Y VaR 5% ES 5% -63.3% 0% +63.3% Daily log return
worst-5% daily return and the average loss inside it
Formula VaR5%=Q0.05(R),ES5%=E[RRVaR5%]\displaystyle \mathrm{VaR}_{5\%} = Q_{0.05}(R),\quad \mathrm{ES}_{5\%} = \mathbb{E}[R \mid R \le \mathrm{VaR}_{5\%}]
Metric 1Y5Y
VaR (5%) -5.2% Historical daily threshold -6.4% Historical daily threshold
Expected shortfall (5%) -7.9% Beyond the VaR threshold -10.4% Beyond the VaR threshold
Skew -0.01 0.91
Excess kurtosis 6.22 17.67

Less negative daily VaR and Expected Shortfall values mean the left tail was less violent. Skew and excess kurtosis help distinguish between steady compounding and a path dominated by occasional extreme moves.

Full stats table

Every window-consistent research metric

Each column keeps the same horizon across returns, ratios, drawdowns, and tail-risk metrics.

Metric
1Y Recent window
5Y Deeper research window
Total return
-35.9%
+21.7%
Annualized return
-35.9%
+4.0%
Volatility
69.7% Annualized daily closes
92.6% Annualized daily closes
Sharpe ratio
-0.35
0.44
Sortino ratio
-0.52
0.71
Calmar ratio
-0.55
0.05
Sterling ratio
-0.91
-0.00
Ulcer Index
37.55
57.66
Max drawdown
-65.6% 2025-07-21 to 2026-02-04
-81.3% 2021-05-01 to 2022-06-18
VaR (5%)
-5.2% Historical daily threshold
-6.4% Historical daily threshold
Expected shortfall (5%)
-7.9% Beyond the VaR threshold
-10.4% Beyond the VaR threshold
Skew
-0.01
0.91
Excess kurtosis
6.22
17.67

What viewers usually ask next

What is Ripple's 5Y CAGR?

Ripple's 5y cagr is +4.0% on Gale using the past 5 years.

What is Ripple's 1-year volatility?

Annualized volatility is 69.7% over the past year.

What is Ripple's 5-year Sharpe ratio?

Ripple's Sharpe ratio is 0.44 using the past 5 years.

What is Ripple's 5-year Sortino ratio?

Ripple's Sortino ratio is 0.71 using the past 5 years.

What is Ripple's 5-year Calmar ratio?

Ripple's Calmar ratio is 0.05 using the past 5 years.

What is Ripple's 5-year Sterling ratio?

Ripple's Sterling ratio is -0.00 using the past 5 years.

What is Ripple's 5-year Ulcer Index?

Ripple's Ulcer Index is 57.66 using the past 5 years. Lower is better because it means shallower and less persistent drawdowns.

What is Ripple's 5-year max drawdown?

Max drawdown is -81.3% over the past 5 years from 2021-05-01 to 2022-06-18.

What is Ripple's 5-year daily Value at Risk?

Using historical daily returns, Gale estimates a 5% Value at Risk of -6.37% over the past 5 years.

What is Ripple's 5-year Expected Shortfall?

Expected Shortfall is -10.40% over the past 5 years, which captures the average outcome inside the worst 5% of daily returns.

Is Ripple still below its all-time high?

Current drawdown is -60.0% versus the all-time high of $3.56 reached on 2025-07-21.

Which benchmark should viewers open first for Ripple?

Bitcoin is the default benchmark lens on Gale because it gives the cleanest context for Ripple's recent behavior.